2021 Oscar Predictions

List compiled by Eddie on 23/04/2021

The upcoming Academy Awards are going to be an Oscar night unlike any other, a strange reminder of the equally strange world we find ourselves in at the moment but we can be thankful there’s an awards night at all and that despite all the barriers, films continue to be an important part of our lives.

One of the most open ended Oscar nights in some time, with a lack of clear front-runners in some categories and shoe-ins in others creating what is likely to be one of the most evenly spread awards ceremonies in history, with it appearing like a film winning more than 3 or 4 awards would be a major shock.

This has been one of the most accurate and correct Academy Awards I have seen in some time when it comes to actual nominations and while its easier in some ways due to a lack of usual content, its great to see the nominees mostly deserving their spots with a lot of firsts and first time nominees making for an intriguing set-up.

Below are my totally uneducated picks for the winners and I look forward to seeing what films are crowned the best of the best early next week.

Happy reading and happy watching.

Best Picture

“The Father”

“Judas and the Black Messiah”




“Promising Young Woman”

“Sound of Metal”

“The Trial of the Chicago 7”

Winner: Nomadland

Dark Horse: Minari

Best Director

Thomas Vinterberg (“Another Round”)

David Fincher (“Mank”)

Lee Isaac Chung (“Minari”)

Chloé Zhao (“Nomadland”)

Emerald Fennell (“Promising Young Woman”)

Winner: Chloé Zhao

Dark Horse: David Fincher

Best Actor in a Leading Role

Riz Ahmed (“Sound of Metal”)

Chadwick Boseman (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”)

Anthony Hopkins (“The Father”)

Gary Oldman (“Mank”)

Steven Yeun (“Minari”)

Winner: Chadwick Boseman

Dark Horse: Anthony Hopkins

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Viola Davis (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”)

Andra Day (“The United States v. Billie Holiday”)

Vanessa Kirby (“Pieces of a Woman”)

Frances McDormand (“Nomadland”)

Carey Mulligan (“Promising Young Woman”)

Winner: Viola Davis

Dark Horse: Carey Mulligan

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Sacha Baron Cohen (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”)

Daniel Kaluuya (“Judas and the Black Messiah”)

Leslie Odom Jr. (“One Night in Miami”)

Paul Raci (“Sound of Metal”)

Lakeith Stanfield (“Judas and the Black Messiah”)

Winner: Paul Raci

Dark Horse: Leslie Odom Jr.

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Maria Bakalova (‘Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”)

Glenn Close (“Hillbilly Elegy”)

Olivia Colman (“The Father”)

Amanda Seyfried (“Mank”)

Yuh-jung Youn (“Minari”)

Winner: Yuh-jung Youn

Dark Horse: Olivia Coleman

Best Animated Feature Film


“Over the Moon”

“A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon”



Winner: Soul

Dark Horse: Wolfwalkers

Best Adapted Screenplay

“Borat Subsequent Moviefilm.”

“The Father,”


“One Night in Miami,”

“The White Tiger,”

Winner: The Father

Dark Horse: Nomadland

Best Original Screenplay


Striking a chord with audiences around the world, Minari is a feel good winner

“Judas and the Black Messiah.”


“Promising Young Woman,”

“Sound of Metal.”

“The Trial of the Chicago 7,”

Winner: Minari

Dark Horse: Judas and the Black Messiah

Other Categories:

Best Original Song

“Fight for You,” (“Judas and the Black Messiah”).

“Hear My Voice,” (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”).

“Húsavík,” (“Eurovision Song Contest”).

“Io Si (Seen),” (“The Life Ahead”).

“Speak Now,” (“One Night in Miami”).

Winner: Speak Now

Dark Horse: Fight for You

Best Original Score

“Da 5 Bloods,”



“News of the World,”


Winner: Soul

Dark Horse: Da 5 Bloods

Best Sound



“News of the World,”


“Sound of Metal,”

Winner: Sound of Metal

Dark Horse: Soul

Best Costume Design



“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom,”



Winner: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Dark Horse: Mank

Best Animated Short Film


“Genius Loci”

“If Anything Happens I Love You”



Winner: Burrow

Dark Horse: Opera

Best Live-Action Short Film

“Feeling Through”

“The Letter Room”

“The Present”

“Two Distant Strangers”

“White Eye”

Winner: The Present

Dark Horse: Feeling Through

Best Cinematography

“Judas and the Black Messiah,”


“News of the World,”


“The Trial of the Chicago 7,”

Winner: Mank

Dark Horse: Nomadland

Best Documentary Feature


“Crip Camp,”

“The Mole Agent,”

“My Octopus Teacher,”


Winner: Collective

Dark Horse: My Octopus Teacher

Best Documentary Short Subject


“A Concerto Is a Conversation,”

“Do Not Split,”

“Hunger Ward,”

“A Love Song for Latasha,”

Winner: Hunger Ward

Dark Horse: Colette

Best Film Editing

“The Father,”


“Promising Young Woman,”

“Sound of Metal,”

“The Trial of the Chicago 7,”

Winner: The Father

Dark Horse: Sound of Metal

Best International Feature Film

“Another Round”

“Better Days”


“The Man Who Sold His Skin”

“Quo Vadis, Aida?”

Winner: Another Round

Dark Horse: Collective

Best Makeup and Hairstyling


“Hillbilly Elegy,”

“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom,”



Winner: Mank

Dark Horse: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Best Production Design

“The Father.”

“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom.”


“News of the World.”


Winner: Mank

Dark Horse: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Best Visual Effects

“Love and Monsters,”

“The Midnight Sky,”


“The One and Only Ivan,”


Winner: Tenet

Dark Horse: Mulan

Winners Total

Mank: 3

Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom: 3

Nomadland: 2

The Father: 2

Minari: 2

Soul: 2

Sound of Metal: 2

What are your predictions for an Oscar ceremony like none other? Any surprise picks or wins you’d love to see? Let me know in the comments below! 

12 responses to “2021 Oscar Predictions

  1. Some predictable choices here. But don’t worry my predictions list is not too different to yours. I’m actually hoping some of my dark horses pull through. My list is up over the weekend. Stay tuned guys.

      • A few hours after the ceremony I have to say I quite enjoyed it. I got 10/19 in the categories I looked at. I’m still kicking myself for choosing Boseman over Hopkins considering I thought Hopkins deserved the Oscar. There is a lesson there somewhere. Well it’s less than a year before we do it all again. By the way Eddie, do you consider Hopkin’s win as a surprise of the night?

      • Hey mate not a bad effort at all! I must say I wanted personally for Hopkins to win, I found his performance more long-lasting but it does surprise me the Boseman factor didn’t overweigh him.

    • There’s actually some really solid one’s this year mate, a few that are lucky to be there but majority this is a good reflection on quality product from last year.

  2. I think you got 12 correct and had a couple in the Dark Horse category that ending up winning. The reddit live-awards thread was much more entertaining than the ceremony itself.

    • I have been stuck at work all day! Keen to see where I went amiss and where I hit the nail on the head. Such a strange ceremony this year it seems.

  3. Pingback: Lisa’s Week In Review: 4/19/21 — 4/25/21 | Through the Shattered Lens·

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