The Movie Guys – 2024 Oscar Predictions

By Eddie on 08/03/2024

Over the coming days Hollywood’s night of nights will take place. 

The 2024 Academy Awards features some of the strongest candidates in years and after the over reaction to Everything Everywhere All at Once last year it’s refreshing to see that for the majority of instances the deserving products are likely to walk away with the golden statues. 

After years of being ignored by the Academy one of the most exciting prospects of this years ceremony is the fact it appears as though beloved director Christopher Nolan is likely to be crowned the years Best Director, an award he has been overlooked for in the past on multiple occasions. 

His historical epic Oppenheimer is likely to be the major winner on the night and there’s not many that could argue with that outcome if its comes to fruition. A bold and singular vision, Oppenheimer is the exact type of film Hollywood should be championing. 

There are a few films such as Maestro, Barbie and Killers of the Flower Moon that should consider themselves lucky being up for some many varied awards, even if its likely that only Barbie has a shot at more than 1 or 2 awards. 

Speaking of Killers of the Flower Moon, I personally hope Lily Gladstone’s incredibly overrated performance in that film doesn’t take Emma Stone’s rightful Best Actress award for her. It would be heart-breaking to see such a fabulously unique turn from Stone in Poor Things be overshadowed by Gladstone’s po-faced and mostly bed-ridden performance. 

Whatever happens on the night there is sure to much debate and movie memories made. 

Happy watching. See you at the movies!  

Disclaimer – Bold for wins, *for potential upset. 

Best Picture

Oppenheimer would be a worthy recipient of the Best Picture award

American Fiction

Anatomy of a Fall*

Barbie

The Holdovers

Killers of the Flower Moon

Maestro

Oppenheimer

Past Lives

Poor Things

The Zone of Interest

Best Director 

A director long overdue, it’s about time Nolan took home an Oscar

Justine Triet — “Anatomy of a Fall”*  

Martin Scorsese — “Killers of the Flower Moon”  

Christopher Nolan — “Oppenheimer”  

Yorgos Lanthimos — “Poor Things” 

Jonathan Glazer — “The Zone of Interest”  

Actor in a Leading Role

Jeffrey Wright finally got a chance to shine in a lead role with American Fiction

Bradley Cooper — “Maestro”  

Colman Domingo — “Rustin” 

Paul Giamatti — “The Holdovers”*

Cillian Murphy — “Oppenheimer”  

Jeffrey Wright — “American Fiction”  

Actress in a Leading Role 

A breakout year for Sandra Hüller, she is unlikely to knock off the two frontrunners here

Annette Bening — “Nyad”  

Lily Gladstone — “Killers of the Flower Moon”* 

Sandra Hüller — “Anatomy of a Fall”  

Carey Mulligan — “Maestro” 

Emma Stone — “Poor Things”  

Actor in a Supporting Role

An against type performance from Mark Ruffalo was noteworthy in Poor Things

 

Sterling K. Brown — “American Fiction”  

Robert De Niro – “Killers of the Flower Moon”  

Robert Downey Jr. — “Oppenheimer”  

Ryan Gosling — “Barbie”*  

Mark Ruffalo — “Poor Things”  

Actress in a Supporting Role 

Da’Vine Joy Randolph is unbeatable in this category

Emily Blunt — “Oppenheimer”*  

Danielle Brooks — “The Color Purple”  

America Ferrera – “Barbie”

Jodie Foster — “Nyad”  

Da’Vine Joy Randolph — “The Holdovers”  

Adapted Screenplay

The Zone of Interest is a haunting adaptation that could pull of a surprise win here

“American Fiction,” written for the screen by Cord Jefferson

“Barbie,” written by Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach

“Oppenheimer,” written for the screen by Christopher Nolan*

“Poor Things,” screenplay by Tony McNamara

“The Zone of Interest,” written by Jonathan Glazer

Original Screenplay

Shut out elsewhere, May December is merely making up the numbers here

“Anatomy of a Fall,” screenplay by Justine Triet and Arthur Harari

“The Holdovers,” written by David Hemingson

“Maestro,” written by Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer

“May December,” screenplay by Samy Burch; story by Samy Burch and Alex Mechanik

“Past Lives,” written by Celine Song*

Cinematography 

Far too long, Killers of the Flower Moon at least looked amazing

“El Conde” – Edward Lachman

“Killers of the Flower Moon” – Rodrigo Prieto

“Maestro” – Matthew Libatique

“Oppenheimer” – Hoyte van Hoytema

“Poor Things” – Robbie Ryan*

Original Song 

It is likely to lose everywhere else but no way Barbie loses here

“The Fire Inside” from “Flamin’ Hot,” music and lyric by Diane Warren

“I’m Just Ken” from “Barbie,” music and lyric by Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt*

“It Never Went Away” from “American Symphony,” music and lyric by Jon Batiste and Dan Wilson

“Wahzhazhe (A Song For My People)” from “Killers of the Flower Moon,” music and lyric by Scott George

“What Was I Made For?” from “Barbie,” music and lyric by Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell

Costume Design 

The film itself was a huge let-down by Napoleon sure looked good!

“Barbie” – Jacqueline Durran*

“Killers of the Flower Moon” – Jacqueline West

“Napoleon” – Janty Yates and Dave Crossman

“Oppenheimer” – Ellen Mirojnick

“Poor Things” – Holly Waddington

Sound

The Creator had its issues but technically it was outstanding

“The Creator,” Ian Voigt, Erik Aadahl, Ethan Van der Ryn, Tom Ozanich and Dean Zupancic

“Maestro,” Steven A. Morrow, Richard King, Jason Ruder, Tom Ozanich and Dean Zupancic

“Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One,” Chris Munro, James H. Mather, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor

“Oppenheimer,” Willie Burton, Richard King, Gary A. Rizzo and Kevin O’Connell

“The Zone of Interest,” Tarn Willers and Johnnie Burn*

Original Score 

John Williams gets a token nomination for his new work on the latest Indiana Jones film

“American Fiction” – Laura Karpman

“Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” John Williams

“Killers of the Flower Moon” – Robbie Robertson*

“Oppenheimer” – Ludwig Göransson

“Poor Things” – Jerskin Fendrix

Documentary Feature Film 

20 Days in Mariupol is a critical darling and favourite here

“Bobi Wine: The People’s President,” Moses Bwayo, Christopher Sharp and John Battsek

“The Eternal Memory”

“Four Daughters,” Kaouther Ben Hania and Nadim Cheikhrouha

“To Kill a Tiger,” Nisha Pahuja, Cornelia Principe and David Oppenheim*

“20 Days in Mariupol,” Mstyslav Chernov, Michelle Mizner and Raney Aronson-Rath

International Feature Film 

Netflix’s well-liked Society of the Snow won’t be able to take down Zone of Interest

“Io Capitano” (Italy)  

“Perfect Days” (Japan)  

“Society of the Snow” (Spain)*

“The Teachers’ Lounge” (Germany) 

“The Zone of Interest” (United Kingdom) 

Animated Feature Film 

It would be a huge shame if the latest Spider-Man outing didn’t win here

“The Boy and the Heron,” Hayao Miyazaki and Toshio Suzuki*

“Elemental,” Peter Sohn and Denise Ream

“Nimona,” Nick Bruno, Troy Quane, Karen Ryan and Julie Zackary

“Robot Dreams,” Pablo Berger, Ibon Cormenzana, Ignasi Estapé and Sandra Tapia Díaz

“Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse,” Kemp Powers, Justin K. Thompson, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller and Amy Pascal

Makeup and Hairstyling 

An overrated awards baiter, Maestro did have some great elements

“Golda,” Karen Hartley Thomas, Suzi Battersby and Ashra Kelly-Blue

“Maestro,” Kazu Hiro, Kay Georgiou and Lori McCoy-Bell*

“Oppenheimer,” Luisa Abel

“Poor Things,” Nadia Stacey, Mark Coulier and Josh Weston

“Society of the Snow,” Ana López-Puigcerver, David Martí and Montse Ribé

Production Design 

Oppenheimer’s production design was immaculate

“Barbie,” production design: Sarah Greenwood; set decoration: Katie Spencer

“Killers of the Flower Moon,” production design: Jack Fisk; set decoration: Adam Willis

“Napoleon,” production design: Arthur Max; set decoration: Elli Griff

“Oppenheimer,” production design: Ruth De Jong; set decoration: Claire Kaufman*

“Poor Things,” production design: James Price and Shona Heath; set decoration: Zsuzsa Mihalek

Film Editing

A wonderful slow-burn, Anatomy of a Fall will likely be over-shadowed in this category

“Anatomy of a Fall” – Laurent Sénéchal

“The Holdovers” – Kevin Tent

“Killers of the Flower Moon” – Thelma Schoonmaker

“Oppenheimer” – Jennifer Lame

“Poor Things” – Yorgos Mavropsaridis*

Visual Effects

Moulding practical with effects, the latest Mission Impossible was a fantastic technical achievement

“The Creator,” Jay Cooper, Ian Comley, Andrew Roberts and Neil Corbould*

“Godzilla Minus One,” Takashi Yamazaki, Kiyoko Shibuya, Masaki Takahashi and Tatsuji Nojima

“Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3,” Stephane Ceretti, Alexis Wajsbrot, Guy Williams and Theo Bialek

“Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One,” Alex Wuttke, Simone Coco, Jeff Sutherland and Neil Corbould

“Napoleon,” Charley Henley, Luc-Ewen Martin-Fenouillet, Simone Coco and Neil Corbould

Win’s Tally – 

 Oppenheimer = 8 

Poor Things = 4

Barbie = 1 

The Zone of Interest = 1 

Anatomy of a Fall = 1 

9 responses to “The Movie Guys – 2024 Oscar Predictions

    • It’s a shame Past Lives walked away with nothing but overall I think this is one of the best Oscars in years for deserving wins.
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  1. It sounds good. Maybe “Anatomy” for editing (the film winned the French reward), “Zone” for sound, and “Barbie” for Production design… We’ll see.

  2. Fingers crossed for Oppenheimer sweep! I’d love Emma Stone to win, but there’s a couple of factors working against her: previous Best Actress win (for a much less deserving performance IMO), and a narrative of recognising a minority that hasn’t been a huge winner in the past in Gladstone’s favour. That’s not to knock on her performance, which I haven’t seen and which might be fantastic, but narrative is always a powerful thing when it comes to these awards.

    For the Best Song, my head says What Was I Made For? but my heart says I’m Just Ken 😊

    • I am so glad Emma Stone was, she was such a deserving winner. I don’t completely understand the hype for Gladstone’s turn, I appreciate the uniqueness of it but I really felt rather cold towards her turn. Stone’s was the complete opposite for me, she just delivered in every scene.
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