2022 Oscar Predictions

By Eddie on 28/03/2022

In a mere few hours the biggest awards night on the Hollywood calendar will take place in what is likely to be a fairly predictable ceremony even if right now there are a few possible outcomes in some of the key categories on the night.

With key awards likely to be lead by Netflix’s Power of the Dog and technical awards sure to be dominated by the epic Dune, little films such as Coda, Drive My Car and Licorice Pizza are looking to sneak their way into the envelopes and have their names called out by some of the who’s who of Tinseltown.

Tonight should mark some noteworthy career moments for the likes of Will Smith looking for his first Oscar, deaf actor Troy Kotsur for his role in Apple’s well-liked Coda and perhaps most importantly of all Jane Campion whose looking to become a rare female Best Director winner for her role in bringing Power of the Dog to life.

All in all the 2022 Academy Awards represent a good collation of what made the last 12 months special when it came to the film landscape and with things back to normal now with fewer delays and cinemas once more opened, here’s hoping the rest of 2022 continues to provide a wide range of features for us to all enjoy and see here this time next year.

Happy reading and happy watching!

Best Picture

There would be no one surprised if Power of the Dog wins the “big one” tonight

BELFAST

CODA*

DON’T LOOK UP

DRIVE MY CAR

DUNE

KING RICHARD

LICORICE PIZZA

NIGHTMARE ALLEY

THE POWER OF THE DOG

WEST SIDE STORY

Actor in a Leading Role

After many years plying his trade, 2022 appears to be the year Will Smith gets that Oscar

Javier Bardem in BEING THE RICARDOS

Benedict Cumberbatch in THE POWER OF THE DOG*

Andrew Garfield in TICK, TICK…BOOM!

Will Smith in KING RICHARD

Denzel Washington in THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH

Actor in a Supporting Role

The fine work of Coda’s ensemble helped ensure it was one of last years most beloved films

Ciarán Hinds in BELFAST

Troy Kotsur in CODA

Jesse Plemons in THE POWER OF THE DOG

J.K. Simmons in BEING THE RICARDOS

Kodi Smit-McPhee in THE POWER OF THE DOG*

Actress in a Leading Role

Battling it out with Nicole Kidman and Jessica Chastain, Olivia Colman has a great chance to add to her Oscar collection

Jessica Chastain in THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE

Olivia Colman in THE LOST DAUGHTER

Penélope Cruz in PARALLEL MOTHERS

Nicole Kidman in BEING THE RICARDOS*

Kristen Stewart in SPENCER

Actress in a Supporting Role

Ariana DeBose is the biggest sure thing of the night

Jessie Buckley in THE LOST DAUGHTER

Ariana DeBose in WEST SIDE STORY

Judi Dench in BELFAST

Kirsten Dunst in THE POWER OF THE DOG*

Aunjanue Ellis in KING RICHARD

Animated Feature Film

A huge hit for Disney, Encanto may take home the Best Animated feature award

ENCANTO*

FLEE

LUCA

THE MITCHELLS VS. THE MACHINES

RAYA AND THE LAST DRAGON

Cinematography

In any other year Nightmare Ally would’ve been a genuine frontrunner here

DUNE

NIGHTMARE ALLEY

THE POWER OF THE DOG*

THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH

WEST SIDE STORY

Costume Design

West Side Story was a marvel in a production sense

CRUELLA

CYRANO

DUNE*

NIGHTMARE ALLEY

WEST SIDE STORY

Directing

Benedict Cumberbatch and Jane Campion made for quite the team in Netflix’s heavyhitting drama Power of the Dog

BELFAST – Kenneth Branagh

DRIVE MY CAR – Ryusuke Hamaguchi*

LICORICE PIZZA – Paul Thomas Anderson

THE POWER OF THE DOG – Jane Campion

WEST SIDE STORY – Steven Spielberg

Documentary (Feature)

Animated documentary Flee should be the winner here

ASCENSION

ATTICA

FLEE

SUMMER OF SOUL (…OR, WHEN THE REVOLUTION COULD NOT BE TELEVISED)*

WRITING WITH FIRE

Film Editing

Don’t Look Up is making up numbers in many of its categories

DON’T LOOK UP

DUNE*

KING RICHARD

THE POWER OF THE DOG

TICK, TICK…BOOM!

International Feature Film

One of the years biggest surprise hits, Drive My Car is a genuine Oscar chance in all its nominated categories

DRIVE MY CAR

FLEE

THE HAND OF GOD

LUNANA: A YAK IN THE CLASSROOM

THE WORST PERSON IN THE WORLD*

Makeup and Hairstyling

When it comes to the technical side of things, Dune is going to take some beating

COMING 2 AMERICA

CRUELLA

DUNE

THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE*

HOUSE OF GUCCI

Music (Original Score)

Hans Zimmer’s unique score for Dune should be a winner on the night

DON’T LOOK UP – Nicholas Britell

DUNE – Hans Zimmer

ENCANTO – Germaine Franco

PARALLEL MOTHERS – Alberto Iglesias

THE POWER OF THE DOG – Jonny Greenwood*

Music (Original Song)

With lots of solid competition this year, can James Bond win an Oscar here?

“Be Alive” from KING RICHARD

“Dos Oruguitas” from ENCANTO

“Down To Joy” from BELFAST

“No Time To Die” from NO TIME TO DIE*

“Somehow You Do” from FOUR GOOD DAYS

Production Design

All films nominated here deserve the award but Tragedy of Macbeth is unlikely to succeed

DUNE

NIGHTMARE ALLEY

THE POWER OF THE DOG

THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH

WEST SIDE STORY*

Sound

A one time frontrunner, Belfast may walk away from tonight empty handed

BELFAST

DUNE

NO TIME TO DIE*

THE POWER OF THE DOG

WEST SIDE STORY

Visual Effects

A win the general public would love to see would be for Marvel’s box office breaking web-slinging adventure

DUNE

FREE GUY

NO TIME TO DIE

SHANG-CHI AND THE LEGEND OF THE TEN RINGS

SPIDER-MAN: NO WAY HOME*

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

Don’t be surprised if Coda gets a win here against the odds

CODA – Screenplay by Siân Heder

DRIVE MY CAR – Screenplay by Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Takamasa Oe*

DUNE – Screenplay by Jon Spaihts and Denis Villeneuve and Eric Roth

THE LOST DAUGHTER – Written by Maggie Gyllenhaal

THE POWER OF THE DOG – Written by Jane Campion

Writing (Original Screenplay)

Here’s hoping Paul Thomas Anderson’s latest outing Licorice Pizza can claim a sole award in this category

BELFAST – Written by Kenneth Branagh

DON’T LOOK UP – Screenplay by Adam McKay; Story by Adam McKay & David Sirota

KING RICHARD – Written by Zach Baylin

LICORICE PIZZA – Written by Paul Thomas Anderson

THE WORST PERSON IN THE WORLD – Written by Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier*

Wins Tally

Dune = 6

Power of the Dog = 4

West Side Story = 2 

10 responses to “2022 Oscar Predictions

  1. Glad you agree with me that Dune might clean up in the technical categories. Our other picks are close too. Check out my predictions if you get a chance. I’m sure we’ll comment again after the awards too.

      • Well I guess I’ll be glueing myself to the couch in about an hour. Looking forward to the ceremony. Check back with you later on today to see how we went with how predictions.

      • Indeed Eddie, Will Smith giving Chris Rock a smackdown was as unexpected as ‘Coda’ winning Best Picture – beautiful film but a total shock that it won. I feel like I won the lottery or an Oscar for my strike rate predicting the winners this year 😉 Amazingly I got 16/19 in the categories I looked at. Honestly, I’m still freaking out Coda won. I can’t tell you how excited I am for Will Smith and Jessica Chastain, arguably my favourite contemporary actress. Dune did very well. It alone boosted my Oscars success rate this year. I’m not so sure it was as difficult predicting the winners this year say compared to last year.

      • A month or so ago if felt like a wild thing for someone to say Coda the best picture winner but the hype for it really came at the right time.
        Very nice to see Dune do so well.
        Shockingly I can’t for the life of my figure out how the film that wins best adapted screenplay and then best picture didn’t have a nomination for its director ha!
        E

  2. I don’t think the Academy accomplished their goal of decreasing broadcast airtime.

    I liked that most of the downstairs seats were less auditorium seating and more booths (with end tables? and hotel lobby furniture aesthetic), but I kept thinking I was watching a music awards show without all the musicians. I’ve never been so happy to see Sir Anthony Hopkins presenting an award as I did tonight.

  3. I watched it all last night with the kids and made a game out of it. We all had to call out who we thought would win each time and if we got it right we got a chocolate. I thought they might be bored but they loved it. I was really happy for Coda. Surprised, but happy. Also really happy Power of the Dog didn’t win.

    • Love that idea, it’s always a good night when you can create your own game out of it. A month or so ago I would’ve thought someone was crazy if they said Coda for Best Picture but I think the world we are in right now, its come at the right time and certainly would be a hard film to hate even if I didn’t personally think it was a Best Picture material product.
      E

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